Northeast Weather Forecast Calls For More Severe Storms

Key Takeaways

A storm system moving east from the Midwest will bring severe weather threats to parts of the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic on Tuesday.
Some areas at risk include Pennsylvania, upstate New York, Maryland, New Jersey, West Virginia, and Virginia.
Places north of the warm front, like Boston, are unlikely to see storms due to cooler temperatures.
Western Pennsylvania and the Ohio Valley could experience record-breaking rainfall, raising concerns about river flooding.

Early Week Northeast Weather Forecast

It has been a nice stretch of warm and dry days for the Northeast. That pattern is about to change with the arrival of a disturbance that will bring the risk of severe weather for this corner of the country. Here is a look at what you can expect with this shift in the weather.

More Storms on Deck for Parts of the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic

Forecasters are warning that a rash of locally severe storms are possible Tuesday, including hail and wind gusts for the Northeast weather forecast. These storm cells will pack a number of impacts, including strong winds, heavy rain, and hail in a zone from the central Appalachians and up into the northern mid-Atlantic and southern edge of the Northeast.

The impacts are part of the same weather maker that has been roaring across the central U.S. over the last few days. A new front pushing to the east from the Midwest will pair with cooler air circulating in the middle levels of the atmosphere to lay the groundwork for this potential storm development starting in the eastern Great Lakes and tracking down into the mid-Atlantic throughout the day Tuesday.

This is also the same storm system that brought rain and gusty conditions to the central Great Lakes and the Ohio Valley on Monday. The good news is that the next batch of storms is not expected to roar in with the same intensity of the system that turned deadly across the Midwest over the weekend.

However, those in the potential impact zone will still want to stay on top of the developing weather situation. Areas in the line of fire include Pennsylvania, upstate New York, Maryland, New Jersey, West Virginia, and Virginia. Major cities in the path include Philadelphia; Rochester, New York; and Morgantown, West Virginia.

There are a number of impacts expected with this storm system. Residents in this zone should be on the lookout for torrential rain, thunder and lightning, and an outside chance of hail.

For instance, Philadelphia is forecast to see a mix of sun and clouds to start the day Tuesday with the chance of rain showers picking up in the evening hours.

Highs will remain on the warm side, inching up into the low 80s before falling into the mid 50s overnight. Rain showers will linger through Wednesday morning. The cloud cover across the City of Brotherly Love will keep temperatures in the low 70s on this day.

The rain will also increase in the afternoon and evening hours in Morgantown, West Virginia. The college town is forecast to see occasional rain showers and the chance of thunderstorms erupting. Highs will hover in the low to mid 70s with overnight temperatures landing in the upper 50s.

Areas North of Warm Temperatures Will Dodge the Storms and Rain

The greatest chance of stormy conditions will be in the areas that are experiencing unseasonable warmth. Cities to the north of the boundary of warmth are not at risk of substantial storm activity. For example, Boston will top out in the low 50s for highs on Tuesday and Wednesday, preventing the storms from migrating into the area.

However, it will be a different situation in areas to the south and west of the boundary. Warmer air will fuel the development of storms in this region with temperatures still lingering in the 70s and 80s.

New York City will be on the edge of the boundary of warm and chilly readings. This means the Big Apple is likely to see some rain showers but the severe weather will be limited in the coming days.

Potentially Record-Breaking Rainfall for Portions of Western Pennsylvania and Ohio Valley

Pittsburgh is another city forecast to be in the zone of significant rainfall. The Steel City has already picked up nearly 8 inches of rain so far in April. This amount puts the month at number two on the list of most rainfall recorded in the city in the fourth month of the year.

The record currently belongs to April of 1901, a period that saw 8.11 inches of rain. With rain in the forecast for Tuesday weather, there is a chance that 2024 could come out with the most rain ever recorded in April in this metro area.

Pittsburgh and many other communities in the western half of Pennsylvania and across the Ohio Valley have been under the threat of river flooding as a result of the heavy rainfall in recent weeks.

Looking ahead, Northeast weather will enjoy drier conditions on Wednesday and Thursday. However, more rain is back in the forecast heading into the weekend. This moisture and the threat of storms will be a part of the new systems that are expected to raise the risk of severe weather for the central U.S. during the middle of the week.

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